EUR/JPY bounces from 100.5

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"We have to observe the market closely to see whether there are excessive or disorderly moves. […] "when necessary, we will take decisive action."
- Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda (based on Bloomberg Businessweek) 

Pair's Outlook
Pairs path on forming a clean double top pattern was cut short as it received strong bullish impetus from 100.55/54 which was enough to breach 101 JPY mark. This increases chances that pair will test, and most likely breach, 20 bar SMA at 101.26 pretty soon making Fibonacci retracement (23.6% of 25th of July-17th of September move) at 101.58.

Traders' Sentiment
After prolonged bearish moods in the market, distribution of holdings of short and long traders are in perfect equilibrium today. However, 75% of pending orders are to buy suggesting a strong support for the pair in lower levels and possible major shift in market sentiment in the near future.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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