Mondelez International Stock analysis

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Mondelez International, known for Oreo and Cadbury, faces several challenges in 2026 despite its strong global market share. Margins remain under pressure due to high cocoa costs locked in by hedging, and consumers are less willing to accept price increases, hurting sales volume. The rise of weight-loss drugs like Ozempic is reducing snacking, especially in developed markets where biscuit sales are declining, forcing reliance on riskier emerging markets. Geopolitical issues include criticism and risks related to its operations in Russia and increased scrutiny over human rights and sustainability compliance, adding costs. Financially, Mondelez carries high debt, making it vulnerable to rising interest rates, which could limit dividends and share buybacks. Its valuation is considered expensive compared to peers, despite negative volume growth and ongoing risks.



Mondelez International is trading cheaper than its recent history but remains more expensive than some food industry peers. Its current price-to-earnings ratio is about 20.1, below its 5-year average of 23, and the forward P/E for 2026 is around 17.1, slightly cheaper than the consumer staples average. However, its P/E is higher than companies like General Mills and Kraft Heinz but lower than Hershey. The PEG ratio, which compares price to earnings growth, is between 1.55 and 1.9, reflecting moderate growth expectations of about 10-11% for 2026–2027. This may suggest the stock is fairly valued for a stable, defensive company but not a deep bargain compared to some peers with lower PEGs.

Mondelez International has been a relatively low-volatility stock over the past two years, though price swings increased slightly due to cocoa and sugar market fluctuations. Daily price moves averaged about 1.05% to 1.15%, or roughly $0.55 to $0.65 based on a price near $53.65.
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