British economy expands 0.5% in Q3 but raises questions about its future growth prospects

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
"So far, so good, then. But we find it hard to believe that the economy can sustain this pace of expansion, given the indications from business surveys and growing price pressures".
- Elizabeth Martins, HSBC

The UK economy showed solid growth in the last quarter, as higher exports and consumer spending helped to offset the post-Brexit vote uncertainty, official data revealed on Friday. According to the Office for National Statistics' second estimate, the British economy expanded 0.5% in the Q3, in line with analysts' expectations. Business investment jumped 0.9% on a quarterly basis in the three months to September, surpassing the 0.6% rise market forecast. Britain's economy has so far performed much better than expected in the wake of the country's vote to leave the EU. However, analysts suggest that challenges lie ahead, as higher inflation caused by the steep fall in the value of the British Pound is likely to squeeze consumer spending and increase cost pressures on business. Household spending increased 0.7% in the Q3, slightly below the prior quarter's level but still strong enough to boost the economy. Net trade contributed 0.7% to economic growth in the last quarter, the largest positive reading since the beginning of 2014, driven by higher exports amid the weak Sterling. Compared with the same period one year ago, the economy grew 2.3% in the Q3, meeting projections. Services output advanced 0.8%, while manufacturing and construction output dropped 0.9% and 1.1%, respectively.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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