February 2026 Preliminary Consumer Sentiment: Recovery and Inflation Outlook

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The February 2026 preliminary data reveals a stalled consumer recovery, as a marginal rise in the sentiment index to 57.3 masks a sharp divide between wealthy stockholders and those without investments. Despite reaching a six-month high, the index remains roughly 20% lower than the previous year, suppressed by ongoing anxiety over job security and the high cost of living. While the drop in one-year inflation expectations to 3.5% offers a small silver lining, the slight increase in long-term expectations to 3.4% suggests that most Americans believe the era of pre-pandemic price stability has yet to return.



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