ECB leaves the intrest rates the same

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) has decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. Inflation is currently around the 2% medium-term target, and the outlook for inflation remains broadly unchanged. The new ECB staff projections show headline inflation averaging 2.1% in 2025, 1.7% in 2026, and 1.9% in 2027. For inflation excluding energy and food, the projections are 2.4% in 2025, 1.9% in 2026, and 1.8% in 2027. The economy is projected to grow by 1.2% in 2025, which is an upward revision from the 0.9% expected in June. However, the growth forecast for 2026 has been slightly lowered to 1.0%, while the projection for 2027 remains unchanged at 1.3%.



The Governing Council is determined to ensure inflation stabilizes at its 2% target in the medium term. It will follow a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach when deciding on the appropriate monetary policy stance. In particular, the Council's interest rate decisions will be based on its assessment of the inflation outlook, the risks surrounding it, incoming economic and financial data, the dynamics of underlying inflation, and the strength of monetary policy transmission.
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