Federal Reserve causes volatility

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
On September 22, the US Federal Reserve Federal open Markets Committee published its Economic Projections and Statement in addition to the Federal Funds Rate. Namely, US Monetary policy was revealed. In general, the bank revealed that inflation in US had been picking up. Due to that reason, the central bank will keep its policy intact until the 2% inflation target is reached.

Quoting the statement: " The path of the economy continues to depend on the course of the virus. Progress on vaccinations will likely continue to reduce the effects of the public health crisis on the economy, but risks to the economic outlook remain.

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. With inflation having run persistently below this longer-run goal, the Committee will aim to achieve inflation moderately above 2 percent for some time so that inflation averages 2 percent over time and longer‑term inflation expectations remain well anchored at 2 percent. The Committee expects to maintain an accommodative stance of monetary policy until these outcomes are achieved."

Statement on Monetary Policy

Federal Reserve Press Release

On the announcement, the EUR/USD immediately dropped 24 base points. However, the rate began a recovery in the aftermath of the drop, as it recovered to the 1.1750 mark.

On a larger scale, the event ended the low volatility of this week, as can be observed on the 4-hour candle chart, where the Fed release time candle was larger than the ones prior, starting from September 17.

Initial Reaction

Larger scale situation

Actual Topics

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