Expert Commentary

Fri, 27 Sep 2013 11:16:23 GMT

Karel Brůna from University of Economics on lessons to be learned from tumultuous September 2008

In the first phase, the policy of cheap money helped financial market to gain a huge amount of liquidity demanded by banks due to interbank market freeze and deep distortions in other segments of money market.

Wed, 25 Sep 2013 08:14:03 GMT

Brenda Kelly, Market Strategist at IG Markets, on gold and its future prospects

In my opinion, the figures that we got through executed close of above $1,415 per ounce was the detriment to gold prices, as that would have been a key turning point.

Wed, 18 Sep 2013 13:00:13 GMT

Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Strategist at TD Securities, on USD/CAD and EUR/CAD

We believe that the Canadian Dollar looks a little bit stretched at these levels. Overall, we have been bullish on the U.S. Dollar, and we expect that the Canadian Dollar is likely to lag behind general Dollar strength throughout this year.

Fri, 13 Sep 2013 13:53:52 GMT

Abhishek Deshpande, Oil and Gas Analyst at Natixis, on recent oil market developments

Yes, to a certain extent that is true as Syria as a country does not directly impact oil flows and hence would unlikely affect oil prices unless the unrests spread to other oil producing countries in the region.

Fri, 13 Sep 2013 07:47:03 GMT

Curtis Simon, Professor at Clemson University, on U.S. labour market and unemployment rate

All measures of unemployment are problematic in that they depend on whether or not an individual, who does not have a job professes to be looking for work or not.

Fri, 06 Sep 2013 13:15:58 GMT

SAVI Trading on Sterling's performance, short and long term outlook on GBP/USD

I do think that hiking interest rates can be done much sooner than expected; as I believe the market is susceptible to any sort of tightening from any central banks.

Wed, 04 Sep 2013 07:07:07 GMT

Adam Cole, Global Head of FX Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, on Euro and its forecasts

I do not consider it to be a warning sign as if we look at the Euro's performance broadly, it is still tending to outperform. Thus, looking at anything other than the U.S Dollar, the general trend is still being on the strength of the Euro. 

Mon, 02 Sep 2013 07:03:02 GMT

Metzler Seel Soh & Co. KGaA on German economy, September elections and future of rescue programmes

Yes, I expect the German economy to expand steadily for the next few years. I believe that we will continue to see robust growth of export industry.

Wed, 28 Aug 2013 06:56:02 GMT

Rockwell Global Capital on U.S. Dollar, future drivers, short and long term forecasts

Obviously, rising yields and improving economic activity in the world's largest economy are positive drivers for the U.S Dollar.

Fri, 23 Aug 2013 06:32:03 GMT

Victoria Clarke, Economist at Investec, on EUR/USD, its future trend and catalysts

I do not expect this trend to continue in the long term. Actually, we believe that the Euro will weaken against most of its major counterparts, especially the U.S. Dollar.

Mon, 19 Aug 2013 14:39:12 GMT

Fadel Gheit, Oil & Gas Senior Analyst at Oppenheimer & Co, on oil and its future price trend

I expect oil prices to continue to be impacted by global events including the turmoil in the Middle East, which continues to get worse, keeping oil prices inflated by supply concerns.

Fri, 16 Aug 2013 07:17:06 GMT

Kumiko Gervaise, FX Market Analyst at Gaitame.com, on USD/JPY and EUR/JPY

If the Japanese government can make the path through the cutting corporate-tax by raising sales-tax, and the BOJ can prepare next action of qualitative and quantitative easing, I agree to the thought of the BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.

Mon, 12 Aug 2013 15:28:12 GMT

James Angel, Professor of Finance at Georgetown University, on Bitcoin popularity and its future prospects

I agree that Bitcoin is "the world's fastest growing currency". Bitcoin is an attempt to create an electronic currency that is not controlled by a government.

Fri, 09 Aug 2013 11:27:06 GMT

Maritza Cabezas, Senior Economist at ABN Amro, on China's economic outlook and the Yuan

I believe that it is quite possible. We expect China's GDP growth to be around 7, 5%, which is in line with the target set by authorities for 2013.

Thu, 08 Aug 2013 14:59:05 GMT

Makoto Noji, Senior Bond & FX Strategist at SMBC Nikko, on Japan's economy and Yen

I believe that the tax hike is necessary, since the Japanese do not have confidence in Japan's fiscal position and budget. Young people are wondering whether they will receive pension and benefits in the future.

Tue, 06 Aug 2013 13:26:07 GMT

Dr. Ather Akbari, Professor at Saint Mary's University, on current immigration trends

Australia and New Zealand have experienced sharp increases in their arrival rates (per thousand population) in recent years (from 8.2 and 6.1 per thousand residents in 1979 to 21.7 and 14.9, respectively in 2008).

Mon, 05 Aug 2013 11:58:04 GMT

Alvin T. Tan, FX Strategist at Societe Generale, on the UK economy and Sterling

We have indeed seen quite good economic numbers out of the U.K; and the run of positive data has been quite persistent over the last month or so.

Fri, 02 Aug 2013 13:14:09 GMT

Fredrik Erixon, Director of the ECIPE, on the Euro's future performance and the main drivers

Nominal exchange rates are always going to move. But the position of the Euro against the other global currencies mostly depends on what happens in other countries and central banks – at least as long as the ECB remains very conservative about supporting money growth.

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 09:11:05 GMT

David Forrester, G10 FX Strategist at Macquarie Bank, on the Aussie Dollar

Given that we have had a weaker data out of China and Australia, we expect that there will be a rate cut in August.

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 14:39:06 GMT

Jonathan Webb, Head of FX Strategy at Jefferies Bache, on the Swiss Franc

The Swiss economy has probably performed better than analysts had expected, given the Swiss Franc has stayed so strong.

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 06:44:06 GMT

Robert Wood, Chief UK Economist at Berenberg Bank, on the U.K.'s economic perspectives

The U.K is not yet on a sustainable path to recovery. It is true that growth is returning, with annualized GDP rising 0.3% in the first quarter, and is likely to be at least as good in Q2 and perhaps in Q3 as well.

Mon, 15 Jul 2013 18:56:08 GMT

Guillaume Salomon, Chief EM Strategist at Societe Generale, on Emerging Markets

It is creating a very challenging environment, because the question for the market is whether we are going to see some tampering of QE and when it would occur.

Fri, 12 Jul 2013 07:16:05 GMT

Danske Bank on Eurozone's economy, the Euro and its short and long term forecasts

Our economists are looking for a slight improvement in the Eurozone's activity.

Mon, 08 Jul 2013 16:17:08 GMT

TD Securities on potential candidates for the Fed's Chairman position

At this moment there is no indication that Mr. Bernanke will want to be reappointed. However, I believe it would depend on the overall environment.

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