EUR/USD Outlook

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

EUR/USD experienced some volatility and closed near 1.17650 price level.


Economic Calendar Analysis


Fundamental data release impact may be considered low towards EUR/USD this week.

EUR/USD hourly chart analysis

The hourly chart for EUR/USD highlights a period of localized consolidation following a sharp rejection from the 1.1830 resistance and the 101.2% Fibonacci level at 1.1838. Price is currently trading near 1.1763, attempting to stabilize above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1747 while facing immediate overhead pressure from the 50-hour SMA at 1.1779. For a renewed bullish push, the pair must decisively clear these moving averages to retest the recent highs and aim for the 1.1900 horizontal target. Conversely, if the 1.1747 support fails to hold, the market will likely descend toward the 50% Fibonacci level at 1.1720, with a deeper correction potentially testing the 38.2% retracement at 1.1692.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

EUR/USD pair is currently navigating a technical landscape defined by several critical price levels that will likely dictate its next major move. On the upside, the immediate hurdle is the resistance at 1.1830, which represents a recent peak; breaking above this is essential for the bulls to challenge the major psychological barrier at 1.2000. Conversely, immediate support is anchored at 1.1600, a level that currently aligns with the cluster of moving averages and serves as a first line of defense for buyers.



Daily chart




Traders are mixed






EUR/USD as of April 20 shows a slightly net-short bias at 53.77%, compared to 46.23% long. From a contrarian standpoint, this balanced positioning suggests the market lacks a strong consensus, typically providing a neutral to slightly bullish technical bias for the pair.

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