USD/JPY reconfirms trend line

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

The USD/JPY has retested the lower trend line of the pattern of the hourly candle chart. By dropping down to it and surging back up during Wednesday's trading.

On Thursday, the rate traded just below the 55 and 100-hour simple moving averages. In general, the rate was about to test the resistance of these levels.

Latest Fundamental Event Report

Institute for Supply Management released the US Non-Manufacturing PMI data, which came out worse-than-expected of 53.7 compared with the forecast of 55.5.

Anthony Nieves, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee commented: "The NMI registered 53.7 percent, which is 1.4 percentage points lower than the June reading of 55.1 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector, at a slower rate. This is the index's lowest reading since August 2016, when it registered 51.8 percent. Respondents indicated ongoing concerns related to tariffs and employment resources. Comments remained mixed about business conditions and the overall economy."

No data for USD/JPY this week



During this week there will be no more macroeconomic data releases that might impact the USD/JPY.

USD/JPY short-term daily review

The rate is set to test the combined resistance of the 55 and 100-hour simple moving averages at 106.25.

If this level gets broken, the currency rate would test the monthly pivot point, which is located at 106.54.

On the other hand, the rate might get pushed down to once again test the pivot point at 105.87 and the lower trend line of the previously mentioned pattern near 105.60.

Hourly Chart



On the daily candle chart, the rate has bounced off in a sharp move off the upper trend lines of dominant patterns. The move was expected to occur a lot slower.

Moreover, the move broke the junior pattern without pausing at its lower trend line.

In general, the rate is expected to trade sideways in the borders of the large scale descending pattern.

Daily chart



Traders remain long

Since the middle of Wednesday's trading session, 75% of USD/JPY open position volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was in long positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders were bearish, as in the 100-pip range 54% of pending orders were set to sell and 46% were to sell.

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