EUR/USD waits for fundamentals

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The EUR/USD appears to be waiting for the Federal Reserve rate hike and press conference by trading near the 1.0900 level. Resistance is found at 1.0920/1.0925 and support is located at 1.0835/1.0840.

Economic Calendar Analysis



This week, various events will impact the markets. In general, fundamentals are set to impact the currencies.

On Tuesday, at 15:00 GMT, the Consumer Board Consumer Confidence index is set to reveal how the consumers are looking into the future.

On Wednesday, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Manufacturing PMIs might cause moves in the USD. The releases will occur at 13:15 GMT and 15:00 GMT.

Afterwards, at 19:00 GMT, the US Federal Reserve is set to hike its Federal Funds Rate. The central bank is expected by the markets to increase its interest rate from 4.50% up to 4.75%. The announcement will be followed by a press conference of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell at 19:30 GMT.

On Thursday, the European Central Bank is scheduled to hike its Main Refinancing Rate at 13:15 GMT. The Press Conference of the central bank is scheduled for 13:45 GMT.

On Friday, the US monthly employment data will be published at 13:30 GMT. The release will consist of Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate.

EUR/USD hourly chart

A surge of the Euro against the US Dollar might encounter resistance in the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.0918 and the 1.0920/1.0925 range. Higher above, take into account the 1.0950 level and the weekly R2 simple pivot point at 1.0970.

On the other hand, a decline could find short term support in the combination of the weekly simple pivot point and the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages near 1.0880. Below these levels, the 1.0860 and 1.0840 have acted as support.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair continues to pass one resistance level after another, as the pair has reached above the May 2022 high of 1.0790. Next resistance is the April high level at 1.0937.

Meanwhile, previous resistance zones and levels are being observed as turning into support.

Daily chart




Traders are short

On Monday, trader open positions were bearish, as 66% of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 50% to sell the Euro against the USD.

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