GBP/USD pierced pattern's resistance

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The GBP/USD has revealed a support range at 1.2665/1.2675. The range provided enough support to cause a surge that was strong enough to pass the 1.2700 mark, a resistance range, two simple moving averages. However, as the rate was piercing the upper trend line of the channel down pattern and the 200-hour simple moving average, it eventually failed and a decline started. By mid-Friday, the pair had reached the 1.2735/1.2750 range.

Economic Calendar



There are no more notable events scheduled for this week.

GBP/USD hourly chart analysis

A move below 1.2735 might result in the rate looking for support in the combination of the 50 and 100-hour simple moving averages near 1.2720. In addition, note that the weekly S1 might act as support at 1.2711, before the pair reaches the 1.2700 mark. If the 1.2700 fails, the 1.2665/1.2675 zone could once again come into play.

In the case of a potential recovery of the Pound against the US Dollar, the pair will face the previously pierced upper trend line of the channel down pattern and the 200-hour simple moving average. If these levels fail, the pair is set to approach the 1.2800/1.2820 range and the weekly simple pivot point at exactly 1.2800.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily candle chart analysis

Prior Analysis: "On the daily candle chart, the rate pierced the lower trend line of the pattern and was set to reach the 100 and 200-day simple moving averages. However, the US employment release casued a surge. By late Friday, the rate was testing the resistance of the 1.2800/1.2850 range.

If the pair again passes below the channel's lower trend line, there is no additional support on this chart as low as the combination of the 100 and 200-day simple moving averages below 1.2700. However, note that the 1.2700 has been acting as both as support and resistance.

On the other hand, a potential recovery is facing the 1.2800/1.2850 range. Higher above take into account the 1.2900 mark."

In general, the bearish scenario is taking place, as the resistance held and has caused a decline to the simple moving averages.

Daily chart


Traders become neutral


On Friday, traders were neutral, as 52% of open position volume at Dukascopy was in long positions.

In the meantime, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range above and below the current rate were 54% to sell.

On Wednesday, traders were 58% long. Meanwhile, pending orders were 51% to sell the GBP versus the USD.

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