EUR/USD drops to 1.1130

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

The decline of the EUR/USD has continued, as on Wednesday morning the currency exchange rate reached the 1.1130 level.

In general, the rate was expected to continue the decline until it reaches the historical low level at 1.1124.

Latest Fundamental Event Report

The European Common Currency depreciated against the US Dollar, following the French Flash Services PMI data release on Wednesday at 07:15 GMT. The EUR/USD exchange currency rate lost 16 pips or 0.14% right after the release. The Euro continued trading at the 1.1144 level against the US Dollar.

Markit released the French Flash Services PMI, which came out worse-than-expected of 52.2 compared with the forecast of 52.7.

Also, note, that the German Flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs data were released on Wednesday at 7:30 GMT. The German Flash Manufacturing PMI data came out worse-than-expected of 43.1 compared with the forecast of 45.1. As the result, the Euro depreciated 15 pips or 0.13% against the US Dollar.


US data could impact pair


On Thursday, the ECB Monetary Policy Statement will be published at 11:45 GMT. Last time, this release caused a forty-pip move in the EUR/USD pair.

Also, the US Core Durable Goods Orders data will be released at 12:30 GMT. Previously, this data release caused only a four-pip move.

The week will end with the US Advance GDP data release on Friday at 12:30 GMT. The previous data release caused a 24-pip move.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

Yesterday, the EUR/USD currency pair declined to the support level formed by the weekly S2 at the 1.1152 mark. During Wednesday's morning, the pair surpassed the given support.

Given, that the exchange rate is pressured by the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs, currently located in the 1.1187/1.1227 range, it is expected, that bears could continue to prevail. However, note, that the rate has to surpass the 2018/2019 minimum at 1.1124.

If the given level holds, it is likely, that the pair could trade sideways around the psychological level at 1.1140 in the nearest future. Otherwise, the rate could target the weekly S3 at the 1.1103 mark.

Hourly Chart



On the daily candle chart, the patterns have been crashed, as the currency exchange rate has passed the last support level.

Although, if one was short on the pair in the expectations of the rate touching the support line and rebounding, the profit is larger than expected.

Daily chart


Traders remain short on EUR/USD

On Wednesday, 63% of open EUR/USD position volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in 100-pip range around the pair were neutral, as 53% of all orders were set to sell and 47% were to buy.

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