- The Swiss market is 56% bullish on the pair
- Pending orders in the 100-pip range are 60% set to sell
- UK data each morning until Friday
During the last 24 hours GBP/USD has surged. It is expected that the rate will test resistance levels at 1.2920. If the level gets passed, the rate could surge back to the 1.30 mark.
Latest Fundamental Event
The British Pound depreciated against the US Dollar, following the UK Average Earnings Index data release on Tuesday at 09:30 GMT. The GBP/USD exchange currency rate lost 9 pips or 0.07% during a minute, right after the release. The British Pound continued trading at the 1.2915 area against the US Dollar.
The Office for National Statistics released UK Average Earnings Index data that came in line with expectations of 3.0%.
The ONS noted "Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in real terms (that is, adjusted for price inflation) increased by 0.9% excluding bonuses, and by 0.8% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier".
Relevant data incoming almost each morning
This week macroeconomic data release traders will have a lot to do. Starting from Tuesday, almost each day a notable data release is expected to cause sudden fluctuations of at least ten base points.On Wednesday, there are two data releases that are set to be covered. Namely, at 09:30 GMT the UK CPI will be published. Afterwards, at 13:30 GMT the US CPI and Core CPI data sets will be released.
Thursday will be the last day with notable data releases. At 09:30 GMT the British will publish their retail sales data. Afterwards, at 13:30 GMT the US statisticians will publish their retail sector data.
For more in-depth analysis of this week's fundamental economic events watch the weekly Monday's Poking the Economic Calendar webinar, which is live each Monday at 12:00 both on Dukascopy telefision and YouTube.
GBP/USD short term review
In regards to the near-term future, the British Pound will depreciate to the 1.2750 level due to the resistances of the weekly S1 at 1.2899, the monthly pivot point at 1.2907 and the 55-hour simple moving average.On the other hand, if those levels get passed clearly then the 1.3000 mark will be targeted in the upcoming trading sessions, as there is no technical resistance above the 55-hour SMA at 1.2920.
Hourly Chart
From the daily chart's perspective, the decline of the GBP/USD is considered normal. A fast decline should have occurred, as the simple moving averages, which kept the rate up, were passed on Friday.
In regards to the future, the rate should reveal a new medium scale pattern, which should guide the currency exchange rate lower in the borders of the larger pattern.
Daily chart
Peviously, the pending orders in the 100-pip range were perfectly balanced. 50% were set to buy and 50% were set to sell.
On Tuesday, traders were prepared to sell, as 57% of trader set up pending orders were to sell.