EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Falling wedge dominates

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Sell Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Buy
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Sell Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Sell
Aggregate

EUR/PLN has been constrained by a channel down since mid-September. Given that the Euro has been trading with diminishing trading range, a falling wedge would be more precise depiction. 

The bottom line of this pattern was tested last week when the rate reversed from the 4.1450 area. Its subsequent movement was tended northwards within a narrow and steep ascending channel. 

Technical indicators suggest that the rate is likely to edge lower in this session. However, even if the 200-hour SMA is breached, the combined support of the 55– and 100-hour SMAs and the monthly S1 is located nearby circa 4.1590. This area is expected to provide a strong barrier, thus resulting in a reversal back north. 

A near-term upside target is the upper wedge boundary and the monthly PP near 4.19.

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