AUD/CAD 1H Chart: Pair near triangle boundary

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Sell Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Buy Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Buy
Aggregate

The Australian Dollar has been trading in an ascending channel against the Loonie since mid-November. The upper boundary of this pattern and a long-term channel down near 0.9880 was reached five weeks later. 

Since then, the Aussie's failure to move below the 0.9782 mark has resulted in the formation of a descending triangle. The pair had reached its upper boundary, likewise reinforced by the 200-hour SMA, on Tuesday morning. 

From theoretical point of view, this triangle should be breached to the upside. A breakout in this session is also signaled by technical indicators. The subsequent surge is not expected to be long-lasting, as the upper boundary of the senior channel is located nearby circa 0.9860. 

Taking all this into account, the base scenario favours a test of the senior channel and a reversal near this area.

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