USD/TRY 1D Chart: Falling Wedge

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


 The American Dollar is trading against the Turkish Lira simultaneously in the long-term and medium-term falling wedges. Most likely that acceleration of the downtrend and formation of the junior pattern were influenced by the Turkish constitutional referendum that took place on April 16. In the last week the pair has bounced off from the upper trend line of the junior wedge and yesterday broke the Weekly PP located at the 3.5775 level. Most likely that in this week the rate will continue its downward movement towards the weekly S1 at 3.5264, which is supported by the lower lows of the senior wedge. However, there is also a possibility that the pair will make a reversal earlier, near 3.5485, confirming formation of the short-term ascending channel.


  Level  Rationale     Indicator 1D 1W 1MN
R4 3.6264 Weekly R1     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
R3 3.6157 Monthly PP     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Sell
R2 3.6100 Trend-line     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 3.5869 20-day SMA     ADX (14) Sell Neutral Buy
S1 3.5264 Weekly S1     CCI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S2 3.5217 Trend-line     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 3.5041 Bollinger band     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Buy Buy
S4 3.4816 Monthly S1     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
          Aggregate

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