EUR/GBP passes five year low level

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


On June 23 in the year of 2016, the United Kingdom announced that it would leave the European Union. The event caused a major drop of the value of the Pound against the Euro. Since then, the EUR/USD pair had never traded below a support zone at 0.8250/0.8300. On March 3, the pair passed below this support zone.

The decline was attributed to an expected decline of demand for the Euro, which would be caused by the European Union cutting economic ties with Russia. Namely, as European companies leave the Russian market, the companies would not regularly exchange their profits in Rubles to Euro. Meanwhile, the Pound has less of a such exposure to the Russian market, and the Pound has not experienced such a drop.

If the rate continues to decline, it would look for support in the lower trend line of a channel down pattern and the 0.8200 mark. Further below, possible support might be provided by the round exchange rate levels of 0.8150 and 0.8100.

However, a recovery of the Euro against the Pound might find resistance in the 0.8250/0.8300 zone, before approaching the 50-day simple moving average near 0.8350.

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