"The markets are used to news of North Korea's missile tests by now, and the dollar/yen is unlikely to move much unless there is some further escalation of the situation."
– Sony Financial Holdings (based on Reuters)
Pair's Outlook
The USD/JPY currency pair opened the week with flat trade, but with the bearish momentum slightly prevailing. No changes are expected in yesterday's outlook, as risks are still skewed to the downside, as technical indicators are suggesting. The 55-day SMA and the weekly PP form a rather tough resistance around 111.40, which is likely to prevent the Greenback from recovering, but a tough demand cluster rests circa 110.35 as well. The given pair is expected to remain within this trading range of 100 pips in anticipation of the Friday's US NFP data.
Traders' Sentiment
Traders' sentiment remains moderately bearish, with 58% of all open positions being short (previously 57%). At the same time, the portion of orders to acquire the US Dollar inched slightly up. The orders now take up 51% of the market.
| Sentiment | Today | Yesterday | 5 days ago | |
| Positions | -16% | -14% | -16% | |
| Orders | 2% | 0% | 4% | |
| Indicator | 1D | 1W | 1MN | |
| MACD (12; 26; 9) | Sell | Buy | Buy | |
| RSI (14) | Neutral | Neutral | Neutral | |
| Stochastic (5; 3; 3) | Sell | Sell | Sell | |
| ADX (14) | Neutral | Neutral | Neutral | |
| CCI (14) | Neutral | Neutral | Neutral | |
| AROON (14) | Buy | Buy | Buy | |
| Alligator (13; 8; 5) | Sell | Neutral | Buy | |
| SAR (0.02; 0.2) | Sell | Sell | Buy | |
| Aggregate | ↘ | → | ↗ | |