GBP/USD sets eye on 1.21

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Relative to previous idiosyncratic crises, the current fall in GBP appears to be in its infancy in terms of the number of days from peak-to-trough moves in the pound: 18% of the way through relative to 1975; 63% versus 1992 and 33% versus 2008." 
- BAML (based on PoundSterlingLive)


Pair's Outlook 

Even though the British Pound managed to outperform the US Dollar on Thursday, the monthly S3 once again prevented the pair from edging higher. Consequently, the GBP/USD pair is now expected to make a U-turn and fall back at least towards the 1.21 level. The Bollinger band around 1.2072 represents immediate support, but the demand area around 1.1950 is much stronger, represented by last week's low and the weekly S1. On the other hand, technical indicators are giving mixed signals, creating a possibility for another leg up, with the main drivers being the US fundamentals today. 

Traders' Sentiment 

There are 63% of traders with a positive outlook towards the Sterling today, compared to 65% on Thursday. At the same time, the portion of sell orders inched down from 60 to 54%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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