A technical reversal would be confirmed if daily price action prints a bullish rejection candle off this 1.1120 – 1.1150 base. A breakout above the descending channel's upper rail would likely trigger a sharp short-squeeze, with the initial recovery target located at the prior horizontal support-turned-resistance zone near 1.1380 – 1.1400, confluent with the descending 20-day SMA. Conversely, should the pair fail to hold above 1.1120 on a daily closing basis, the reversal setup would be invalidated, opening the door for an extended slide toward the 1.1000 barrier.