XAU/USD: two scenarios likely

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
PositionsTodayYesterdayChange
Longs32%31%3.7%
Shorts68%69%-1.7%
Indicator4H1D1W
MACD(12;26;9)SellBuyBuy
RSI(14)NeutralNeutralNeutral
Stochastic(5;3;3)BuyNeutralNeutral
Alligator(13;8;5)SellBuyBuy
SAR(0.02;0.2)SellBuySell
Aggregate

Yesterday, the XAU/USD exchange rate dropped to the lower boundary of the short-term ascending channel at the 1,284.00 mark.  

During today's morning, the rate was testing the given boundary. From a theoretical point of view, it is expected, that a reversal north could occur in the nearest future. However, note, that gold has to surpass the 200-hour SMA at 1,289. 15. 

If the given channel does not hold, it is likely, that a breakout south occurs soon. In this case the exchange rate could target the psychological level located at 1,280.00.

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