Real GDP higher than expected in the United States

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
In the second quarter of 2025, U.S. real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.0%, according to the advance estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This marks a strong rebound from the first quarter, when real GDP declined by 0.5%. The Q2 growth was primarily driven by a decrease in imports, which are a subtraction in the GDP calculation, and an acceleration in consumer spending. These positive factors were partially offset by declines in investment and exports.



Real final sales to private domestic purchasers, which reflect consumer spending and fixed private investment, rose by 1.2% in Q2, down from a 1.9% increase in Q1. This suggests underlying private sector demand grew more slowly than the headline GDP figure might suggest. Inflation showed signs of easing. The price index for gross domestic purchases increased by 1.9% in Q2, compared with 3.4% in Q1. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.1%, down from 3.7% in the prior quarter. Excluding food and energy, the core PCE price index increased 2.5%, compared with a 3.5% rise in Q1.
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