TRY/JPY 1H Chart: Senior pattern expected to prevail

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Sell Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Buy
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Sell Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Sell
Aggregate

TRY/JPY is trading in two patterns simultaneously. The senior one is a one-year channel down, while the junior pattern is an ascending wedge formed on May 23. The latter was breached today. 

From theoretical point of view, this should result in a decline. However, given that the Lira has been respecting the senior channel for a year, it is expected that the current up-move continues until the upper channel line located near 27.75 is reached within the following two weeks. Technical indicators on the daily time-frame likewise support a surge in the medium term. 

The aforementioned short-term decline might occur during the following session or two, with support being located at the weekly S1 or S2 at 23.75 and 23.00, respectively.

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