NZD/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Buy Buy
Stochastic (5; 3) Sell Sell Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Sell Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Sell
Aggregate

The New Zealand Dollar has been trading in a four-week descending channel against its Canadian counterpart. After reaching the lower channel boundary circa 0.8750 (one-year low), the pair entered a minor consolidation period. 

Subsequently, it failed to form a wave down right away, but remained near the upper channel boundary—a signal indicating that bulls might eventually take the upper hand. However, this level is reinforced by the monthly S1, the 100-, 55– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly PP. 

Without bulls pushing aggressively, the Kiwi is unlikely to overcome this area. This scenario is likewise supported by bearish technical indicators that favour the rate initiating a new wave down. This fall might be halted by the weekly S1 or the monthly S2 at 0.8733 and 0.8662, respectively, as the Kiwi is not expected to decline even further.

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