EUR/CAD 4h Chart: Channel Up

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The EUR/CAD currency pair is a good tool to measure how each of the currencies is doing individually, without the impact of US fundamental events. It seems that the common European currencies medium term surge is about to end against the Canadian Dollar. The reason for that is the fact that the currency pair is getting squeezed in a very small triangle pattern, which had come into existence as a result of the medium term channel reaching the resistance of the dominant, long term ascending channel. Most likely a breakout to the downside is about to occur, which will end in the pair reaching the support of the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.4929. The retracement is measured by connecting the 2016 high and 2015 low levels.



  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 1.5379/1.5401 23.60% Fibo; weekly R2     MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Buy Buy
R3 1.5274 Weekly R1     RSI (14) Neutral Sell Neutral
R2 1.5240 Trend line     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Sell Sell Sell
R1 1.5199 Monthly R1     ADX (14) Neutral Buy Neutral
S1 1.5130 Trend line     CCI (14) Neutral Neutral Sell
S2 1.5088 Weekly PP     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 1.5050 55-period SMA     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Buy Buy
S4 1.5015 100-period SMA     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Buy
          Aggregate

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