USD/CAD to meet ceiling at 1.3360/10

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"It [Canadian GDP] is going to make the Bank [of Canada] cautious, but they are probably going to see some sizable swings in the GDP numbers in the next couple of quarters, reflecting the shifts in oil production."
- Royal Bank of Canada (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

Assuming that a recovery from 1.25 is a bullish correction after this year's massive sell-off from 1.46, the rate is likely to rise 250 pips more before resuming the decline. Right now USD/CAD is well-supported by the monthly R1 and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. However, even though the daily and monthly studies are mostly pointing north, the bulls are highly unlikely to push the price through a dense resistance area between 1.3310 and 1.3360, which is created by the 100-day SMA, 200-day SMA, weekly R2 and 38.2% retracement level.

Traders' Sentiment

SWFX sentiment towards USD/CAD is on the rise. The portion of bulls rose from 50 to 56% during the last five days. Moreover, during the same time period the share of buy orders increased from 45 to 59%.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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