XAU/USD 4H Chart: Channel Down

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
There is a potential bearish channel emerging in the four-hour gold chart, meaning the latest rally from 1,208 is about to come to an end. The ceiling is assumed to be at 1,253, where we expect the price to top out and begin a new downward wave towards the lower edge of the pattern. However, we should be wary that the technical indicators, especially in the four-hour and weekly time frames, are mostly pointing north, and the precious metal appears to be near the oversold area, being that 60.50% of currently open positions in the SWFX marketplace are short. Accordingly, XAU/USD may well manage to close above the red trend-line, and then the near-term focus will shift towards the March 17 high.
© Dukascopy Bank SA
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