NZD/USD keeps edging lower after Friday's surge

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"Long-term, we still see the risks firmly to the downside for the kiwi/US, as we are at that point where the positions in both the US and New Zealand are very well understood and priced by the markets and so people will be lightening up on their positions having gained what they can and that means kiwi will go just a little bit higher."
- ANZ Bank new Zealand (based on The New Zealand Herald) 


Pair's Outlook
 
The New Zealand Dollar slightly overperformed, as it appreciated beyond the 0.66 psychological level. Nonetheless, the weekly PP managed to prevent the rally, as was anticipated. The NZD/USD currency pair has already inched lower today, breaching the two immediate supports, with low chances of regaining the bullish momentum. Furthermore, technical studies are showing bearish signs from the short to the long runs, suggesting the Kiwi is to weaken against the Greenback today. The NZ Dollar is expected to close around the weekly PP, with a probability of reaching 0.6540. 

Traders' Sentiment 
Traders' sentiment improved, as 56% of all positions are now long (previously 45%). The share of buy orders edge up from 30 to 49%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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