USD/SGD 4H Chart: Channel Up

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
This is rather a potential channel than an actual pattern, but there still is likely to be an extension of losses during the next few weeks. The base case scenario is a decline down to the green support trend-line and a new rally from there. USD/SGD may bottom out a little higher, being that there are strong demand levels at 1.35 (200-period SMA) and at 1.3467 (monthly PP). At the same time, if the price suddenly rebounds and closes above resistance at 1.3750 (up-trend and Jul 20 high), the bulls will be expected to continue pushing the US Dollar until the exchange rate reaches Mar high at 1.3940. Meanwhile, the SWFX sentiment is distinctly positive: 66% of open positions are long.
© Dukascopy Bank SA
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