EUR/PLN 4H Chart: Channel Up

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
Both the short and long-term outlooks on EUR/PLN are positive. The exchange rate is expected to rebound from the lower trend-line at 4.1556 and eventually reach the upper boundary of the pattern. The bullish bias is reinforced by the technical indicators, which are pointing north on all time-frames. However, we should still be wary of the nearby resistances. The immediate supply area is around 4.1892, represented by the monthly R1 and Jun 19 high, followed by the Feb high at 4.2261 and the Jan 29 high at 4.2538. However, despite all the arguments in favour of a rally the SWFX market is net short the Euro. Right now merely 26% of all open positions are long.
© Dukascopy Bank SA
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