AUD/USD 1H Chart: Channel Down

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
The bears have recently proved their might by breaking through the major up-trend (connects Apr 14 and May 11 lows), which was reinforced by the long-term moving average. Accordingly, the bias towards AUD/USD is negative, at least until we descend down to the April low at 0.7534. However, there is an increased chance of a rally in the very short run, since the currency has just confirmed support at 0.7730 (weekly S1 level and down-trend). This advancement should be stopped by resistance at 0.7814, where the daily R1 merges with the upper edge of the channel. As for the present attitude of the SWFX market, a majority of traders is long the Aussie, namely 70% of them.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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