USD/JPY continue to set new highs

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
"The distribution between the buy and sell orders is quite stable—44% and 56% respectively. Most likely that the pair will not change in value dramatically; although, the closest resistance for it is located at 119.77 (weekly R2). At the same time, if the selling pressure increases a decline could be limited by the closest support that is placed at 119.23/11 and is represented by the weekly R1 and up-trend support line."

© Dukascopy Bank SA
USD/JPY gained 0.68% ion Tuesday, following a slide on Monday; moreover, once again a new this year's high has been set. Yesterday was more about US news than Japan's and mostly that is the case in this currency pair. The Fed officials become more and more confident in the US economy that takes them closer to enter a critical phase in its seven-year combat with the financial crisis by lifting interest rates. However, Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer reiterated the view that the timing of the first rate hike still depends on broader economic data. If the labour market continues to improve and there are some signs of inflation starting to rise, then policy makers will, consequently, normalize the Fed's monetary policy by increasing interest rates, Fischer said.

The next policy meeting of the FOMC is scheduled on 16-17 December, and officials are seen to retain their "considerable time" pledge, having maintained the rate commitment in place since their March meeting. Fed officials in October ended the central bank's five-year asset-buying programme, a vote of confidence in the nation's economy that has been creating jobs at a steady pace for months. However, they also pledged to keep short-term interest rates near zero for a "considerable time," a nod to subdued inflation and slowdown abroad.

Japan's manufacturing sector continued to expand, albeit at a slower pace, pointing to a modest recovery after the nation's economy unexpectedly fell into recession. The final Markit/JMMA Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.0 in November, compared with a preliminary reading of 52.1 and down from a final 52.4 last month. Nevertheless, the indicator remained above the 50-mark threshold, which indicates expansion in the sector.








US ADP non-farm employment change on Wednesday

Today US ADP non-farm employment change data will be released and that will give as an insight about what to wait on Friday, when the government will release the official data, which is considered to be one of the most important monthly data if not the most important. Meanwhile, there are no substantial news to be released in Japan.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

USD/JPY continues to trade around this year's highs

At the first half of the year USD/JPY was trading almost completely flat, as it traded around the 102 level. However, at the second part of August the Greenback started to outperform the Japanese peer rather heavily. Currently, the pair has reached the 118/119 mark and for the time being it is supported by the support line and weekly PP around the 118 mark, if this level holds then we might see the pair climbing even higher. Nonetheless, in case these levels do not hold the selling pressure then the pair is likely to slide towards the monthly PP at 116.75.

Daily chart
© Dukascopy Bank SA

USD/JPY has managed to surpass the 119 level that remained unbeaten beforehand. Currently, the pair is hovering around the weekly R1 that is located at 119.23, if this level continues to hold the pair above the major level at 119 we might see a test of the 120 level. Nonetheless, most likely the pair will have to gain more bullish momentum to breach the psychological level and possibly even to touch it.

Hourly chart
© Dukascopy Bank SA

SWFX traders slightly more bullish

The sentiment of the SWFX market participants remains neutral with respect to USD/JPY, since only 52% of the market participants are long, the share of buy commands is falling and it has already reached a neutral level - 46%.

Actual Topics

Subscribe to "Fundamental Analysis" feed

Subscribe
To learn more about Dukascopy Bank CFD / Forex trading platform, SWFX and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
For further information regarding potential cooperation,
please call us or make callback request.
To learn more about Dukascopy Bank Binary Options / Forex trading platform, SWFX and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
To learn more about Dukascopy Bank CFD / Forex trading platform, SWFX and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
To learn more about Crypto Trading / CFD / Forex trading platform, SWFX and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
To learn more about Business Introducer and other trading related information,
please call us or make callback request.
For further information regarding potential cooperation,
please call us or make callback request.