EUR/USD looks north

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"He [Mario Draghi] seemed to suggest that the Governing Council is in a position now where it doesn't think evidence of deflation is convincing enough to warrant action."
- BMO Capital (based on MarketWatch)

Pair's Outlook

EUR/USD opened this week below the 100-day SMA, but still seems to be willing to advance further north from here. The nearest resistance is the 55-day SMA at 1.3650, but we should not rule out a possibility of a rally extending up to the major down-trend line at 1.3744 in the next few weeks, especially if the monthly R1 level at 1.3678 is breached.

Traders' Sentiment

The difference between the bullish and bearish market participants keeps on growing—while the share of the former fell down to 39%, the latter now take up 61% of the market. As for the orders placed 100 pips from the spot, 74% of them are to sell the Euro against the U.S. Dollar.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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