USD/JPY recovers on Friday

Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The recovery of the USD/JPY has passed above the 139.00 level, the 50-hour simple moving average and the 139.50 level. However, at mid-day on Friday, the weekly simple pivot point was acting as resistance at 139.60.

Economic Calendar



This week notable events are over.

Next week, starting with Tuesday, the scheduled fundamental events will start to impact the financial markets. At 15:00 GMT, the CB Consumer Confidence could impact the US Dollar's value.

On Wednesday, various US events are expected to cause market moves. At 13:15 GMT, the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change might cause a minor USD move.

Afterwards, at 13:30 GMT, the US Preliminary Quarterly GDP is set to reveal whether the United States remain in a recession.

The day will end with a speech of the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Brooking Institution in Washington at 18:30 GMT.

On Thursday, note the Core PCE Price Index release at 13:30 GMT. The US monetary policymakers watch this index as a measure of inflation, not the Consumer Price Index.

Afterwards, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI could impact the US Dollar's value at 15:00 GMT.

The week is set to end with the release of the United States employment data at 13:30 GMT. The data release consists of the US Average Hourly Earnings changes, Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate.

Hourly Chart
A move above the 139.60 level might be stopped by the combination of the 140.00 level and the 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages. Higher above, note the 140.70/140.80 zone.

On the other hand, a decline of the pair could find support in the 139.00 level and the 50-hour simple moving average, before approaching the 138.50 level and the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 138.41.

USD/JPY daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has returned and shortly reached above the 100-day simple moving average, which is located near 142.00. Higher above, note the 50-day SMA near 145.00. Meanwhile, most close by support on this chart is being provided by the 200-day SMA near 137.00.

Most recently, despite being pierced, the 100-day SMA acted as resistance and caused the recent decline. Due to that reason, it could be assumed that the 200-day SMA will act as support.

Daily chart




Traders are shorting

On Thursday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange, traders were 61% short, as that amount of open position volume was in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the rate were 65% to sell the USD against the JPY.

On Friday, positions were 58% short and pending orders were 53% to sell.

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