USD/JPY finds support 150.000

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Elevated levels of volatility have been a feature of the second half of the calendar year 2024 for USD/JPY. However, the previous week has been relatively calm, considering the US dollar's dominance in the broader market.

Economic Calendar


The week will be calm. There are no events that could impact the rate up to Friday.

The only fundamental data that could impact the USD/JPY price this week will come from US statistical departments.

USD/JPY hourly chart analysis

Since the end of November, USD/JPY has been trading within the 149.6700 to 150.700 price range. The smoothing of the simple moving averages (50-hour, 100-hour, and 200-hour periods) is evident. A change in momentum and a breakthrough of the price levels at 150.700 and 151.220 would bring clarity to further price discovery for USD/JPY.

A decline in price is also possible if market conditions shift in favor of a lower value for the currency pair. If the 149.670 support is broken, testing the 148.800 support level could be plausible.

Hourly Chart

USD/JPY daily candle chart analysis

On the daily candlestick chart, the current price of USD/JPY is trading between the 200-day and 100-day SMAs. The current price also represents the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, considering the price increase from mid-September as the entry point. The longer time frame suggests a probability of price discovery towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at the 146.400 price level.

If the price of USD/JPY rises above the 200-day SMA, the 156.000 price level should be considered the next resistance level.

Daily chart


Traders are sitting in long positions
Before the US elections, Dukascopy traders' positions were bullish, with 68% of open positions being long.

Currently, traders' sentiment suggests no clear directional bias for USD/JPY, with 53.70% of traders who opted to trade the pair being long, while the remaining 46.28% are short.

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