EUR/USD continues recovery

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The Federal Reserve hiked just 0.25% that were expected. Moreover, follow up comments by the head of the Federal Reserve have been perceived by the markets as dovish for the USD. Namely, the US Dollar's value and demand for it will not grow due to monetary tightening, as the Fed remains indecisive and "data dependant."

In the aftermath of the event, the EUR/USD pierced the resistance of the 1.1100 mark and was signalling a continuation of the ongoing upwards move.

Economic Calendar Analysis



On Thursday, the European Central Bank is set to increase its Main Refinancing Rate from 4.00% up to 4.25% at 12:15 GMT.

After the European hike, at 12:30 GMT the US Advance GDP, Unemployment Claims and the Durable Goods Orders are highly likely set to impact the financial markets via an adjustment of US Dollar's value.

On Friday, at 12:30 GMT, the US Core PCE Price Index data is set to impact the US Dollar.

EUR/USD hourly chart

The surge of the Euro against the US Dollar is expected to be slowed down by the combination of the 1.1150 level and the 200-hour simple moving average. Higher above, take into account the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1169, the 1.1200 mark and the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.1231.

On the other hand, a potential decline of the Euro against the US Dollar is expected to look for support in various technical levels. The 100-hour SMA is acting as weak support at 1.1086. The combination of the 50-hour SMA and the weekly S1 simple pivot point are impacting the rate near 1.1060. Further below, note this week's low level zone at 1.1020/1.1040.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has been declining since the attempt to pass above 1.1250. Most recently, the rate mostly ignored the resistance zones that had kept the pair down during the past two years. Daily chart




Traders are shorting

Before the FOMC announcement, the Swiss Foreign Exchange traders were 65% in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in a 100-point range around the current rate were 53% to sell the Euro against the US Dollar.

After Fed rate hike, 65% positions were still short and orders were 59% to sell.

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