EUR/USD Technical Outlook

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

EUR/USD has transitioned from a multi-month downtrend into a recovery phase after establishing a major bottom near 1.1350 in July. A sharp impulsive rally through August cleared multi-month descending channel resistance and pushed the pair to highs around 1.1720, before momentum cooled into a corrective pullback toward the 1.1600 region, where price is currently testing key support-turned-resistance levels.

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EUR/USD Daily chart analysis

On the daily chart, the broader structural bias has shifted cautiously bullish following a clean breakout above the descending trendline that capped price action since the February high above 1.2050. The recent pullback from the 1.1700 rejection represents a standard retest of the broken descending channel boundary and the horizontal pivot zone around 1.1580–1.1610. Holding above this breakout retest keeps the bullish continuation intact toward the horizontal resistance at 1.1800, while a daily close back below 1.1500 would invalidate the breakout and threaten a resumption of the larger macro downtrend toward 1.1350.

Daily Chart



Hourly Timeframe (1H) Outlook

On the intraday chart, price action is consolidating in a tight band around the 1.1610 pivot following a sharp decline from the 1.1720 highs. The pair recently bounced off local ascending support around 1.1570 and pushed to 1.1640, but has stalled just beneath upper channel resistance. A confirmed hourly breakout above 1.1645 opens the door for a retest of 1.1680–1.1700, whereas failure to hold the immediate 1.1600 shelf risks a drop back to the ascending trendline support near 1.1560–1.1570, with major horizontal support anchored at 1.1485.


EUR/USD chart

Hourly Chart





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