GBP/USD Outlook: Bearish Momentum Accelerates Toward Key 1.3218 Support Floor

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

FX pair has Politically, the current week has been quite uncertain for the UK's current government. Further concerns regarding the UK government's financing have also impacted GBP/USD.

Economic Calendar


Elevated volatility may be anticipated, as fundamental data releases regarding the health of the UK economy, along with the possibility of the Prime Minister's resignation, could further increase implied volatility.

GBP/USD hourly chart analysis

The GBP/USD 1-hour chart provides a more granular look at the recent daily breakdown, detailing a structured bearish descent guided by a descending trendline and a declining 20 MA. Price is currently carving out a local consolidation base right above the 1.33441 horizontal support level, following a sharp intra-day liquidation leg characterized by sustained high volume. While the immediate sellers have paused, forcing a minor squeeze back into the hourly 20 MA, the overarching intra-day structure remains firmly bearish. Unless buyers can breach the descending trendline and reclaim the psychological 1.34000 area, the path of least resistance points toward a breakdown below 1.33441, which would open the door for a continuation toward the key daily support floor at 1.32183.


Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart analysis

GBP/USD daily chart exhibits a strong short-term bearish shift as price has aggressively broken below both the 20-day moving average and immediate structural support to trade at 1.33504. With consecutive heavy red candles driving price into the lower boundary of its recent trading range, momentum heavily favors sellers, pointing toward a continuation down to test the major double-bottom support level at 1.32183. Any short-term relief rallies are likely to face stiff overhead resistance near the 1.35280 zone, and the broader bearish outlook remains intact unless the bulls can reclaim and close above that level.



Daily chart


Traders are bullish
GBP/USD trader sentiment is highly bullish, with 26.99% short positions versus 73.01% long positions.



Actual Topics

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