EUR/USD tests long term support

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The decline of the EUR/USD continued, as the 1.1800 level was passed on Thursday and the rate reached the 1.1762 level. The rate rebounded from the 1.1762 mark and began a recovery.

By the middle of Friday's European trading hours, it appeared that the EUR/USD could test the resistance of the 1.1800 level.

Economic Calendar Analysis



Next week, on Wednesday, at 13:15 GMT, the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change is set to be released. This event has caused EUR/USD moves from 4.3 to 15.7 pips since November.

On the same day, at 15:00 GMT the US ISM Manufacturing PMI is set to be scheduled. The rate has moved from 9.1 to 16.0 pips on the announcement.

The week will end on Friday with the top event, as the US Employment data is set to be released at 13:30 GMT. The event will consist of three data sets being released. Combined they have caused moves from 15.8 to 45.7 pips on the EUR/USD charts.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

EUR/USD hourly chart's review

Take into account that the 1.1800 level's resistance was set to be strengthened by the 55-hour simple moving average and the weekly S2 simple pivot point at 1.1808. If these levels provide resistance, the rate would resume its decline and test first the support of the 1.1760 level and afterwards the weekly S3 pivot point at 1.1741.

On the other hand, in the case of the resistance failing, the pair would most likely look for resistance in the 1.1850 level and the 100-hour simple moving average.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has passed the support of the 1.1900 level and the 200-day simple moving average at 1.1860.

Initially it appeared that the rate has no technical support on the chart as low as the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.1688. However, afterwards it was spotted that the rate has been declining in 2021 guided by a descending trend line, which connects the February and March low levels and the December 21 low level.

Since Friday, the rate tested this trend lines support. Namely, it had reached it on Thursday and the recent recovery appeared to be an initial bounce off from the technical levels.

Daily chart




Traders are long

Since Thursday, on the Swiss Foreign Exchange trader open positions were bullish, as 59% of open position volume was in long positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the pair were 58% to buy the pair.

Previously, the orders were 62% to buy.

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