Despite a solid resistance level at 1.4825 the risks are considered to be skewed to the upside. For one, the currency pair is forming an ascending triangle, a pattern that indicates growing demand. In addition, the four-hour and daily technical studies have a bullish bias, which confirms a positive outlook. Once above the upper boundary of the triangle, the pair
Although the general trend of the US Dollar is biased to the downside, this currency is now recovering against the Japanese Yen within the channel down pattern. We are expecting the rally to extend beyond 111 and stop at 111.32 where the cross is going to meet the red boundary of the channel. It is guarded by the monthly R1
On the one hand, the ascending triangle proclaims that the trend of the pair is mainly tilted to the north. However, before the pattern emerged USD/DKK was losing value below the 200-hour major trend-line. Mixed scenario is being expected by the technical indicators at the moment, as they diverge on 4H and daily time frames. From the point of view
NZD/USD has recently broken through a major resistance line and formed an ascending channel. Our outlook on the currency pair is therefore bullish. The New Zealand Dollar is expected to confirm the support up-trend at 0.68 and begin a new wave within the pattern. Under this scenario the rate will surpass the April high and top out near 0.71.Alternatively, in
EUR/PLN has formed a well-defined bullish channel, after the currency pair had established a solid support level at 4.37. At the moment, the price is undergoing a downward correction within the pattern, but the decline should halt near the up-trend at 4.41. From there the rate is expected to rebound to 4.45, namely the upper edge of the channel. The
The Euro has been bullish since the end of the April, and there are good reasons for the currency to appreciate more. From below EUR/AUD is well-supported by the lower boundary of the ascending channel, while the target is the pattern's upper boundary. Accordingly, while the downside is limited by 1.5380, the pair is expected to rise up to 1.5780
EUR/NOK is on course to set the record-high level since April 18. It will happen, when the pair reaches the 9.40 mark, also the nearest resistance for it. As the 1H technical signals are overwhelmingly bullish at the moment, the likelihood of a rally towards the ultimate target in face of the pattern's upper edge is uplifted. The red trend-line
As a correction in the direction of the channel's upper boundary has been successfully completed, a sell-off is returning back on the table. Despite the monthly pivot point at 0.9798, which is emerging as the closest support line for NZD/CAD pair right now, the Kiwi will probably get a tougher bearish momentum from the 200-period SMA placed above the present
The latest recovery from 1.4440 is the result of EUR/AUD probing and confirming the 45-month up-trend. Accordingly, our outlook on the pair is bullish, and we expect the Euro to keep appreciating against the Australian Dollar. The current distribution between the longs and shorts also favours a rally, being that as many as three fourths of all traders are short
Gold failed to carry bullish momentum beyond 1,300 dollars because of the 2015 high after the price had broken out of the triangle. As a result, the precious metal is now trading within the distinct boundaries of a bearish channel. The pattern implies a sell-off from 1,280 down to 1,260, but we should be wary of strong nearby supports, such
Although in the longer-term it may seem that the GBP/NZD currency pair is moving in a bearish trend, on the basis of the past month it has formed a clear channel up pattern that assumes more gains for the base currency. We observe a distinct consolidation above vital technical levels including the monthly pivot point and 200-period SMA, both placed
A triple bottom implies that the Sterling will shortly soar versus the Japanese Yen. The pair is trying to find basis for growth at the moment, namely a sustainable demand line. It seems that the Pound is required to consolidate above the daily pivot point and 100/55-hour SMAs at 155.20 in order to affirm bullish expectations. Meanwhile, the pattern's lowest
As the Australian Dollar has met the support line represented by the weekly S1 at 1.0127, the base scenario is now implying a recovery within the pattern's boundaries. The rally will be expected to stop near 1.03, where the pair will meet not only the pattern's resistance, but also the 200-hour SMA and weekly pivot point. By reaching them, the
EUR/GBP has recently broken out of the bearish channel to the upside and subsequently formed a new pattern—an ascending channel. The outlook on the currency pair for the next several days is therefore positive, and we expect the price to rebound from the lower rising trend-line and jump over the latest high. However, there are also plenty of arguments against
The pair's prospects are ambiguous. On the one side, CAD/JPY is currently trading in a bearish channel with a slight majority of technical studies implying weaker Canadian Dollar. On the other hand, there is a four-month support trend-line that may not let the price drop under 83 yen. If it does, however, we should soon see a test of the
This cross is also likely to face losses, but within the channel down the likelihood of such a move is much higher. EUR/NOK has already met the 200-period SMA, currently at 9.36, which is boosted by the last weekly resistance of the May 2-6 period. They both are followed by the pattern's upper boundary at 9.3820, meaning at least for
GBP/CAD is expected to face an increased pressure from the bearish side of the market. This currency pair has just reached the upper boundary of the channel up pattern, meaning the correction has become the base scenario. Key target level of the bears is 1.8320 where the Sterling is estimated to meet the lower edge of the channel. The SWFX
The emerging channel in the hourly chart is a new wave within the bearish channel that has been forming in the daily chart for the last 20 months. In line with this, our near-term outlook on the Aussie is strongly bearish, and during the next several weeks the exchange rate is expected to fall down to 74.50. As for the
EUR/SGD is currently trading within a well-defined channel, after the currency pair rebounded from the 13-month up-trend. The near-term bullish outlook is also supported by the fact that the price is right at the lower boundary of the pattern, meaning it should rally from 1.5550. However, there is a strong counter-argument against longer-term appreciation of the single currency, and this
One safe haven currency is expected to continue depreciating against another, and in this case the underperformer is likely to be the Swiss Franc. We are looking for some bullishness at the moment and in the days to come, as the CHF/JPY cross has approached the lower edge of the channel, meaning the purchases should start in order to safeguard
As soon as the USD/ZAR currency pair touches the upper trend-line of the pattern, we expect the bearish momentum to activate. However, upside risks remain, as the cross is trading inside a reversal falling wedge pattern. Moreover, seven out of ten SWFX open positions are short, meaning there is much more new room for fresh long trades to be opened.
Although last week there were risks of GBP/CAD breaking out of the channel after forming a double bottom, resistance at 1.85 did not let the Sterling to change the outlook on GBP/CAD and remained intact. Accordingly, we expect the rate to bounce off of the upper trend-line of the channel and then drop by some six figures during the next
The Euro has been strongly bullish since it bottomed out in April near 1.1220, and the chances are the single currency will keep moving higher. EUR/USD is trading next to the lower boundary of the emerging channel at the moment, which implies a rally from the current levels towards 1.16, where the rate is expected to meet the upper boundary
Gold is extending its winning streak, after it successfully confirmed a triangle. Considering the nature of this pattern, the bullion is now expected to continue building ground amid weaker US Dollar. The most immediate resistance is the 2015 peak at 1,307.06, while the next one is placed at about 1,318 (weekly R1). It is shortly followed by the monthly R1