USD/JPY 4H Chart: Channel Up

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


The American Dollar is trading against the Japanese Yen in the short term ascending channel. The pattern started to form after the Greenback's depreciation amid the release of disappointing data on housing starts and building permits on May 16. For the moment, the pair is trading right below the weekly PP at 111.79 and is heading towards the upper trend line of the pattern. Market participants should watch how the situation develops, as the release of data on US unemployment claims in the next week might lead to breakdown of the channel. Nevertheless, the exchange rate should not fall below the 110.80 mark, which represents the bottom edge of the dominant ascending channel (if any drop will follow at all).

  Level  Rationale     Indicator 4H 1D 1W
R4 112.57 100-period SMA     MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Sell Sell
R3 112.12 Trend line     RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
R2 112.08/09 55-period SMA; Upper Bollinger Band     Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Buy Sell Sell
R1 111.79 Weekly PP     ADX (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S1 111.54 20-period SMA     CCI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S2 111.42 Trend line     AROON (14) Buy Buy Buy
S3 111.31 200-period SMA     Alligator (13; 8; 5) Neutral Neutral Neutral
S4 110.98 Bottom Bollinger Band     SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Sell
          Aggregate

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