EUR/GBP 1H Chart: Channel Up

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
On the last day of September EUR/GBP fell to as low as 0.7767, a level untouched since July 2012. However, since then the pair has managed to recover by forming a bullish channel.
Yesterday, the pair approached the upper trend-line and the weekly R2 at 0.7933. Yet, the Euro was not ready to break the pattern to the upside, thus a decline followed. We tend to think that a bearish break-out is more likely, as in general this is a reversal pattern, thus in a base scenario a break-out to the downside should occur. Also, a distinct majority (68.61%) of the SWFX market participants have opened short positions on the pair.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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