The currency pair has just pushed through 104.62 and may carry on trading lower until it reaches 102.54. Subsequent level is located at 100.12/00. From above EUR/JPY is likely to be contained by 105.00, 105.36 and 106.33.
EUR/USD has pierced though several supports and is currently in the proximity of 1.2954, breach of which will expose 1.2634. In the meantime, rallies should be capped by 1.3081, 1.3180 and 1.3264.
EUR/USD remained resilient yesterday after the European Central Bank kept its interest benchmark unchanged. However, the risk for the pair remains on the downside as the pair has not breached the 1.3230/1.3245 zone (55-day MA and upper Bollinger band). Therefore, the pair could test the 1.3100 support level today if the bearish mood persists further.
EUR/JPY failed to commence a bullish rally yesterday as it remains squeezed to the lower Bollinger band at 104.62. Key support remains at 104.25/23. A breakthrough downwards would pave the way to 102.54 level, the 61.8% retracement of the move seen this year.
A bearish correction intensified and it made GBP/USD reach the initial support at 1.6167—the October 2011 high. If bearish bias holds further, the pair is likely to target 1.6110/1.6050 zone. 1.6050 is the 50% retracement of the move upwards from the middle of April, thus the pair could stabilize here and start a bullish rally from this level.
USD/JPY makes 2 consecutive daily attempts to start a bullish reversal, however the 80.94 resistance line has to be breached first in order to cause it. For now, the pair is likely to slip lower to the lower Bollinger band at the 79.75/50 levels, where the market could stabilised and, eventually, pair previous losses.
After the bullish advancement toward 0.9181 line (higher Bollinger band), USD/CHF failed to fix above this level and slipped lower. If the pair shows further weakness, it could hold at the 0.9066 pivot level, where it could gain support from the bullish traders.
With a relatively high 85 pip volatility, yesterday's trading session breached the prolonged the continuous low-volatility period, and gave the pair rather strong bullish impulse. A slight correction could be expected today, but the weekly outlook remains positive.
After a failure at the 5 month downtrend (around 1.3269) yesterday EUR/USD has slipped to 1.3145 this morning. After piercing the critical 80 level, Stochastic is rapidly declining to the oversold area, indicating a short term weakness and a possible slight recovery in near term. The psychological support for the pair would be in the range of 1.2995-1.3005.
A correction continues after the previous month's rally with GBP/USD having slowed to 1.6182. With controversial data from Stochastic and Relative Strength Index, a significant selloff continues on the market. Last October's high of 1.6134 could be the first potential support level.
EUR/JPY has recovered from yesterday's low of 105.125, and is now trading around 105.51 within the 1-month downward channel. Thus, a slide to the recent low of 104.61 can be expected with a strong resistance at 105.00 psychological level.
After strong bullish intraday movements yesterday, the pair has gained stronger footing today, and is trading at 80.229. Thus the nearest target for bulls is likely to be the yesterday's high of 80.61. RSI indicator is floating around the critical 30 level thus indicating a bullish correction in near-term.
USD/CHF bounced off the 0.9060/75 pivot levels after the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI yesterday. Still, in order to establish a strong bullish trend the pair has to breach the 0.9040/50 zone (55– and 200-day MAs). A breach of these resistance levels would expose the 0.9317/42 resistance (October and November 2011 highs).
Yesterday USD/JPY managed to pair previous intraday losses, as strong ISM Manufacturing PMI report showed that the business activity is improving in the US. This bullish movement could be short-lived as the bearish bias is mostly dominating the pair. If the bearish scenario continues, traders could face the next strong support around 78.35/50 (200-day MA).
GBP/USD is still trading above the 1.6200 level—the highest level since 2008—though it declined yesterday after the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data release. This short-term correction could pull the pair back at least to the 1.6180/1.6150 levels. Stiil, from the fundamental point of view, the British pound has no basis for keeping such a strong value compared to the US dollar.
EUR/JPY recovers from yesterday's lows, though there is a high chance that before committing a proper bullish rally, the pair has to test the lower boilinger band at 105.46 first. However, if a breach takes place here, the next support at 104.46, confirmed by the 200-day MA, would be exposed.
EUR/USD remained almost unchanged since yesterday, still holding the key level at 1.3200. Although it seems bulls are losing momentum, it is too soon to speak about the trend reversal as the pair is trading above the 55-day MA. To continue the upward rally, EUR/USD has to breach a resistance around the 1.3270/85 zone, confirmed by the 200-day MA and upper bollinger band. A breakthrough here
The pair is flirting around the 0.9060/75 pivot levels as USD/CHF is going through the consolidation phase. The pair has to hold above the 0.9040/50 zone (200-day MA) in order to maintain a flat trend. A recovery off the pivotal levels (0.9060/75) would expose the 0.9317/42 resistance (October and November 2011 highs).
USD/JPY slipped lower, piercing the 80.00 psychological mark and the lower boilinger band at 80.27 respectively. Therefore, the pair is likely to continue trading in a bearish trend, thus the next strong support traders could face is located around 78.35/50 (200-day MA).
GBP/USD is still trading above the 1.6200 mark—the highest level since 2008 and yesterday it managed to hit the 1.6300 level. Yet, the pair might retrace at least to the 1.6150/1.6180 levels after such solid movement as from the fundamental point of view, the British pound has no basis for keeping such a strong value compared to the US dollar.
EUR/JPY moved lower yesterday and at the moment the pair is approaching the lower boilinger band at 105.27 and, if a breach takes place, the next support at 104.46 would be exposed, confirmed by the 200-day MA.
Yesterday the pair traded flat, indicating that bulls losing momentum, though it is too soon to speak about the trend reversal as the pair is holding grounds above the 55-day MA. However, in order to continue the upward rally, EUR/USD has to pierce a fierce resistance on the 1.3270/85 zone, confirmed by the 200-day MA and upper boilinger band. A breakthrough here would expose April (1.3310)
"There are no real underlying fundamentals that are supporting the euro at these levels. I'm fairly bearish on Spain and the broad euro zone as a whole."- Rochford Capital (based on Bloomberg)Industry outlookLast week was positive for EUR/USD, though the next barrier the pair has to test is located near 1.3287/91 zone as the 5-month downtrend and the 8-month channel.
"The latest economic statistics suggest that the international economic recovery will continue, although growth rates are likely to be on the low side by comparison with typical recovery phases"- Swiss National Bank (based on CNBC)Industry outlookAs the currency pair currently remains under the downward pressure, 0.9066—Friday's key support—is being tested at the moment. If this level is successfully pierced, 0.9000