XAU/USD allays near monthly S1

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Positions Today Yesterday % Change
Longs 45% 44% 2.22%
Shorts 55% 56% -1.82%
Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
RSI (14) Buy Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3; 3) Neutral Sell Sell
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Neutral Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Sell Sell Buy
Aggregate

Downside risks were dominating over the XAU/USD exchange rate on Thursday. After failing to move above the 1,330.00 mark mid-session, the yellow metal started to gain bearish momentum until the monthly S1 at 1,309.92 was reached this morning. 

Given that the pair remained near the 38.20% Fibo retracement line today, it is likely that a bullish reversal towards the 23.60% line occurs. This area is also reinforced by the 55–, 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the monthly PP in the 1,330.00/1,338.10 range. 

Technical indicators are likewise supportive of this scenario, as they signal that a movement upwards should be due soon. On the other hand, a slight period of depreciation down to 1,300.00 should not be discarded.

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