AUD/USD muted ahead of Trump's speech

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"It remains to be seen how much the dollar can gain from Trump's speech, as specifics regarding tax reforms, which is of key interest to the market, may not be available until March." 
- Barclays (based on Reuters) 


Pair's Outlook 
Not only did the Aussie remain relatively unchanged against the US Dollar on Monday, but also remained flat through most of today as well. Since the ascending channel pattern was breached to the downside on Friday, it is only logical that more bearish momentum will now follow. Trump's speech today is bolstering this possibility, as his tax plan reveal is expected to boost the Buck. The pair could then slide all the way back to 0.76, where the weekly S2 coincides with the lower Bollinger band. However, technical indicators are now giving distinctly bullish signals, suggesting that the speech could have a negative effect on the Greenback. The 0.7720 is expected to be the ceiling. 

Traders' Sentiment 

Traders' sentiment remains strongly bearish, at 71%, but the number of purchase orders is also relatively high, taking up 61% of the market.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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