USD/JPY closes above 200-day SMA

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"I would not be surprised to see some take profit in the dollar after the recent run. The situation has not really changed, and risk fear is mounting and the VIX is still just below 20 percent."
- Francesco Scotto, RTFX Fund Management Ltd. (based on Reuters)


Pair's Outlook

Despite the falling trend-line at 97.64 being in the way, USD/JPY has successfully rallied and is already trading above the 200-day SMA that also posed a considerable threat to the upward momentum. Now, considering the monthly studies that are bullish, the currency pair has to overcome the moving averages for 55 and 100 days in order to approach the September high at 100.62.

Traders' Sentiment
Because of USD/JPY's sharp rise yesterday the share of Dollar-long market participants fell six percentage points, but the SWFX sentiment is nonetheless strongly bullish—67% of positions are still long on the greenback. As for the orders, 66% of them are to increase the share of long positions in case they are triggered.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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