NZD/USD came back to 100-day SMA

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The U.S. recovery is fairly on track and probably going to expand this quarter and this could lend the dollar support."
- Barclays Capital (based on CNBC)

Pair's Outlook

For the time being the 100-day SMA is keeping the spot price beneath, implying that the New Zealand Dollar will not appreciate any more. While we would expect NZD/USD to start descending from the current levels, since the pair is already at Jun highs, the outlook will not be changed to a negative one unless the key resistance at 0.8203/00 is violated. Accordingly, a rally beyond the nearest resistances is not ruled out, but should remain contained.

Traders' Sentiment
The distribution between the long (45%) and short (55%) positions was not subject to change over the weekend, supposedly due to stability of the price that did not deviate from the Friday's close. Meanwhile, there is a sizeable gap between the buy (20%) and sell (80%) orders.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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