Crude Plunges as U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Reopens Hormuz, But Structural Supply Risks Remain

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Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Global energy markets experienced a sharp downside correction early Monday as the geopolitical risk premium evaporated following news of a preliminary U.S.-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The deal, which establishes a 60-day ceasefire in exchange for lifting U.S. sanctions on Iranian crude, triggered an immediate selloff that pushed WTI down over 5% to the $80 level and Brent down 4.6%. While ship-tracking data confirms an Indian-chartered LNG tanker is already navigating the corridor to test the waters, this bearish price action masks underlying structural supply fragilities.
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