- SWFX market sentiment is 59% bullish
- Trader pending orders are 60% to sell
- Pair opened Tuesday's session at the 1.0880 level
- Aggregate daily technical indicators bet EUR/USD will remain unchanged
- Economic events to watch over the next 24 hours: German Ifo Business Climate; US CB Consumer Confidence; ECB President Draghi Speaks
Rising prices as well as strengthening employment outlook pushed the single currency area's two main economic sectors – services and manufacturing – flash purchasing managers' index to a 10-month high, influenced by strong growth in Germany. According to the data released, the flash Eurozone PMI manufacturing index strengthened to 53.3 for October from 52.6 the previous month. The following number was the strongest reading for 30 months and above expectations of a 52.7 reading. Moreover, the services-sector data also outperformed forecasts with an advance to a nine-month high at 53.5 from 52.2, while the composite output index strengthened to a ten-month high. The release followed strong PMIs from Germany and mixed data from France where the composite PMI declined as the services gauge went down. Overall, the figures marked an improvement from the September data, when Germany had been hit by services sector weakness and a French manufacturing downturn continued.
Activity in the US manufacturing sector expanded more than expected last month, according to a private survey published on Monday. The Market Research Group said that its Preliminary Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index for the United States jumped to 53.2 in October, following the preceding month's final reading of 51.5 and surpassing the 51.6 market forecast. Any reading above 50 points indicates an expansion and is based on a survey of manufacturers across the country. US manufacturers recorded strongest upturn in business conditions for 12 months in October, while both output and new order growth touched their one-year peaks last month. The US manufacturing sector was hit severely by the US Dollar's sharp appreciation and weak global economic growth. Back in September, the PMI rebounded from a contractionary reading of 49.4, the first drop below the 50 pointlevel since February. Furthermore, some respondents mentioned there was a rise in international and domestic sales. After the release, the US Dollar rose slightly against other major currencies, trading at 1.0890 against the Euro, 1.2233 against the British Pound and 104.08 against the Japanese Yen.
Upcoming fundamentals: German business climate, US consumer confidence and Draghi's speech
The main event on Tuesday is going to be the ECB president's Mario Draghi's speech at 15:30 GMT. Markets have become flat in the expectations of information regarding the ECB's monetary policy in the future. However, before that the US CB Consumer Confidence data will be published at 14:00 GMT. Moreover, on early morning, at 8:00 GMT, traders have to watch out for the German Ifo Business Climate.
EUR/USD remains unchanged for second session
Daily chart: The common European currency remained unchanged against the US Dollar on Tuesday morning, compared to the level of opening on Monday morning. Previously, on Friday the rate fell below the Brexit low level of 1.0912, and it is posed to fall even more, as the currency exchange rate has the next support almost 60 pips below it. At 1.0822 the March low level is located at, and it is strengthened by the weekly S1 at 1.0814. Although, technical indicators suggest that the pair will remain unchanged by the end of the day.Daily chart
Hourly chart: The hourly chart for EUR/USD reveals that the currency exchange rate did no encounter any resistance or support during the last 24 hours. The rate has reduced volatility and was bouncing around the 20-day SMA. Although, most recently the currency pair was approached by the 55-hour SMA, which began to provide resistance to the rate.
Hourly chart
SWFX traders remain bullish
SWFX traders have not changed their stance, as 59% of open positions remain long. In the meantime, 60% of pending commands are set up to sell the Euro.
OANDA traders have increased their bullishness on Tuesday, as 63.34% of open EUR/USD positions are long. In addition, SAXO Bank clients have also slightly increased their bullish sentiment, as open long positions now add up to 53.62%, compared to 53.19% during the previous trading session.