Expert Commentary

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Mon, 12 Aug 2013 15:28:12 GMT

James Angel, Professor of Finance at Georgetown University, on Bitcoin popularity and its future prospects

I agree that Bitcoin is "the world's fastest growing currency". Bitcoin is an attempt to create an electronic currency that is not controlled by a government.

Fri, 09 Aug 2013 11:27:06 GMT

Maritza Cabezas, Senior Economist at ABN Amro, on China's economic outlook and the Yuan

I believe that it is quite possible. We expect China's GDP growth to be around 7, 5%, which is in line with the target set by authorities for 2013.

Thu, 08 Aug 2013 14:59:05 GMT

Makoto Noji, Senior Bond & FX Strategist at SMBC Nikko, on Japan's economy and Yen

I believe that the tax hike is necessary, since the Japanese do not have confidence in Japan's fiscal position and budget. Young people are wondering whether they will receive pension and benefits in the future.

Tue, 06 Aug 2013 13:26:07 GMT

Dr. Ather Akbari, Professor at Saint Mary's University, on current immigration trends

Australia and New Zealand have experienced sharp increases in their arrival rates (per thousand population) in recent years (from 8.2 and 6.1 per thousand residents in 1979 to 21.7 and 14.9, respectively in 2008).

Mon, 05 Aug 2013 11:58:04 GMT

Alvin T. Tan, FX Strategist at Societe Generale, on the UK economy and Sterling

We have indeed seen quite good economic numbers out of the U.K; and the run of positive data has been quite persistent over the last month or so.

Fri, 02 Aug 2013 13:14:09 GMT

Fredrik Erixon, Director of the ECIPE, on the Euro's future performance and the main drivers

Nominal exchange rates are always going to move. But the position of the Euro against the other global currencies mostly depends on what happens in other countries and central banks – at least as long as the ECB remains very conservative about supporting money growth.

Fri, 26 Jul 2013 09:11:05 GMT

David Forrester, G10 FX Strategist at Macquarie Bank, on the Aussie Dollar

Given that we have had a weaker data out of China and Australia, we expect that there will be a rate cut in August.

Wed, 24 Jul 2013 14:39:06 GMT

Jonathan Webb, Head of FX Strategy at Jefferies Bache, on the Swiss Franc

The Swiss economy has probably performed better than analysts had expected, given the Swiss Franc has stayed so strong.

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 06:44:06 GMT

Robert Wood, Chief UK Economist at Berenberg Bank, on the U.K.'s economic perspectives

The U.K is not yet on a sustainable path to recovery. It is true that growth is returning, with annualized GDP rising 0.3% in the first quarter, and is likely to be at least as good in Q2 and perhaps in Q3 as well.

Mon, 15 Jul 2013 18:56:08 GMT

Guillaume Salomon, Chief EM Strategist at Societe Generale, on Emerging Markets

It is creating a very challenging environment, because the question for the market is whether we are going to see some tampering of QE and when it would occur.

Fri, 12 Jul 2013 07:16:05 GMT

Danske Bank on Eurozone's economy, the Euro and its short and long term forecasts

Our economists are looking for a slight improvement in the Eurozone's activity.

Mon, 08 Jul 2013 16:17:08 GMT

TD Securities on potential candidates for the Fed's Chairman position

At this moment there is no indication that Mr. Bernanke will want to be reappointed. However, I believe it would depend on the overall environment.

Fri, 05 Jul 2013 06:56:03 GMT

Bernard Dahdah, Precious Metals Analyst at Natixis, on gold and its future performance

When we are trying to predict how far the price of gold can drop, we have to look at the average cost of gold's production.

Wed, 03 Jul 2013 07:22:11 GMT

Chris Walker, FX Strategist at Barclays Capital, on the Sterling and future impacts

I do not agree with the argument that Mark Carney`s main aim is to weaken the Pound. His main goal is to fulfil his mandate of price stability with perhaps slightly more focus on improving underlying growth. 

Wed, 03 Jul 2013 07:11:12 GMT

Dr. Valentin Hofstätter, Head of Currency Research at Raiffeisen Bank International AG, on the U.S. Dollar

Obviously, it increases discussions in the market whether the Fed can really move along tapering so far as Mr. Bernanke put ahead.

Wed, 26 Jun 2013 09:01:14 GMT

Arne Lohmann Rasmussen, Chief Analyst at Danske Bank A/S, on EUR/USD

We actually believe that it is quite likely that the Dollar appreciation is not a result of the financial market stress, but actually due to the cyclical factors as that U.S. rate are increasing and there is a potential of QE tapering starting later this year.

Wed, 26 Jun 2013 08:50:12 GMT

John Horner, Currency Strategist at Deutsche Bank AG, discuses the Australian Dollar and its forecas

We still see room for a further rate cut as the Australian economy is still quite soft, labour market indicators, in particular, seem to continue to indicate some pressure on the unemployment rate, whereas inflation appears to be very well contained allowing room for more stimulus to be put in the economy by the RBA.

Mon, 17 Jun 2013 09:33:53 GMT

Michael Hewson, Senior Market Analyst at CMC Markets, on the EUR

I believe Europe can expect a slow recovery and a gradual improvement over the coming weeks. On the other hand, there is a wide concern that recent floods in Germany can hit its growth once again.

Wed, 12 Jun 2013 14:58:58 GMT

Abhishek Deshpande, Oil and Gas Analyst at Natixis, on the future of the OPEC

However, the OPEC will continue to be a significant player at least until the end of 2013, while in 2014 and beyond the importance of the organization will decrease. At the last meeting in Vienna, a decision was made to keep the OPEC output unchanged till December.

Fri, 07 Jun 2013 15:32:12 GMT

Richard Franulovich, Senior Currency Strategist at Westpac, on the U.S Dollar

I believe that the U.S growth picture is much more secure than most of us think.

Tue, 04 Jun 2013 15:23:58 GMT

Laurence Copeland, Professor of Finance at Cardiff University, on the future of the Eurozone

Not only it has deteriorated, it is still deteriorating. That is particularly true in the Northern Europe, in the core countries like Germany etc. Nevertheless, the situation might begin to improve in some of the Southern European counties, but if we consider the Eurozone as a whole, the situation is certainly worsening.

Wed, 29 May 2013 14:46:06 GMT

Neil Mellor, Senior Currency Strategist at BNY Mellon, on the Australian Dollar

I believe that there is a decent possibility of the Australian Dollar falling further.

Wed, 29 May 2013 09:46:06 GMT

P.V. Haute, Chief Economist at ING, on whether the Eurozone crisis is political or economic (P2)

As a matter of fact things are getting somewhat better.

Tue, 28 May 2013 14:42:15 GMT

Peter Vanden Houte, Chief Economist at ING, on whether the Eurozone crisis is political or economic

I believe that it is a combination of both. There are some economic issues that lead to the Eurozone crisis in the sense that private debt in some countries, and especially in peripheral countries like Spain and Ireland, either exploded or rose very substantially after the start of the monetary union.

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